Weekly FBMKLCI & Technical Indicator Divergence

Trading Participant analysis till 2013-1-30

1. Yellow Box - Foreign Investor Nett Bought for the 19 of the previous 21 days. Is foreign investor see something we do not see?

2. Red Box - Local Retail Nett sold for the last 10days. Small local investor worry for the coming election? especially on the 30th Jan with the largest Nett Sold of 160% compare to the second largest nett sold value -  A huge increase.

3. Blue Box - continuous  participant ration of less than the average value of 53%. Local institutions move toward conservative?

4. Since local institution and foreign investor tend to make medium to long term investment. And the local retail tends to trade in the shorter term. I think it is still a normal retreat and will continue its upward trends (at least for the FBM KLCI components).

2013-01-31 Counter Clockwise Curve

Technical Analysis FBMKLCI 2013-1-30

2013-01-30 Counter Clockwise Curve

3816 MISC 2012-01-29

6742 YTLPWR 2013-01-29

Recommended Buy at 1.55-1.57.
Refer to http://klse-ccc.blogspot.com/2013/01/2013-01-25-thought-process-2.html for comments on 25th Jan 2013

2013-01-29 Counter Clockwise Curve

Nett Purchase 24-12-2012 to 23-01-2013

Nett Purchase of Trading Participants - Period 24-12-2012 to 23-01-2013 (买卖超）

Note:
Retail = Local Retails
Institutions = Local Institutions
Foreign = Foreign Institutions

2013-01-25 Thought Process 2

2013-01-25 Thought Process 1

2013-01-25 Counter Clockwise Curve

Technical Analysis 2013-01-23

1.Gap filled for FBMKLCI while Finance still open.
2.MACD column still dropping.
3. Volume dropped below MA(Volume,5) & MA(Volume,20). Investors become cautious? or waiting for the direction?

2013-01-23 Counter Clockwise Curve

Note: X-axis = Volume
          Y-axis = Index

Technical Analysis FBMKLCI 2013-1-22

1. Appeared to have support at lower trendline & MA240.
2. Candlestick Hammer at relative low near the lower of the Ascending band accompany with low volume. Sign of downtrend slowing/reverse. Lower Shadows about 15times of candlestick body.
3. MA(60) bending down [candlestick (day -60)@ 1673.07]. 
4. Index Bearish crossover with MA(20) on 21-1-2013. 

2013-01-22 Counter Clockwise Curve

Technical Analysis FBMKLCI 21-01-2013 : Crossed Below MA60

1. Bearish as index crossed below MA60 & MA120.
2. Increase volume along with this Long(2.5%) Black Candlestick. Largest volume since April 2012.
3. Index to retest Lower trendline at around ~1605-1615. Look for support at this region for investing medium to long term.

2013-01-21 Counter Clockwise Curve

Waiting Time. Patient!!

FBMKLCI Week 2013-01-18

1. Beware of Price Volume Divergence .
2. MACD, RSI & Stochastic indicator on downtrend
3. Resistance of Upper trendline still valid.

1.长线仍然呈上升趋势。中线回档。
2.量价背离。请注意。
3.三大指标在下降。短中线回档。

2013-01-18 Counter Clockwise Curve

1.Monday Index can't reach 1681, sell 1/3.
2.MA(20) should be safe for monday & Tuesday.

JSTOCK Indicator Scanner

N根K棒的突破策略.

當今天的高點突破過去N天的最高點時，買進。

當今天的低點跌破過去N天的最低點時，賣出。

保守一點，可以把交易策略改變如下

當今天的收盤價突破過去N天的最高點時，買進。

當今天的收盤價跌破過去N天的最低點時，賣出。

P/S:如果在趨勢明顯的時候，可以讓N小一點，

      在盤整的時候，可以讓N變得大一點.

2013-01-17 Counter Clockwise Curve

1.  Holding: 2/3 of Capitals. 1/3 sold on 10-01-2013(refer to 2013-01-10 post.)
2. MA(15) next turning point @1674 for tomorrow and @1681 for Monday and @1688 for Tuesday. If downward trend continues, Index should hits turning point. Prepare to sell 1/3 if break.
3. Today's volume 170m units is the highest for the last 10days.

  

2013-01-16 Counter Clockwise Curve

2013-01-15 Counter Clockwise Curve

2013-01-14 Counter Clockwise Curve

Technical Analysis FBMKLCI Week 2013-01-11

2013-01-11

2013-01-10

MA (5) turn bearish. Sell 1/3 of Holding.

2013-01-09

2013-01-08

2013-01-07

陳進郎 《股市大贏家Ⅱ》

陳進郎 5大投資心法

【陳進郎 5大投資心法大公開】~今周刊

搶先曝光<股市大贏家>陳進郎的投資心法，歷經金海嘯、歐債，仍繳出200%報酬率的祕密

●【心法一：漲勢加速常是行情尾聲】

1.漲勢接近尾聲的重要特徵，是漲勢急劇加速，但激情不會持久。當大盤日K線在盤中有長黑，就會先行減碼。

2.指數大漲後，跌破「季線」時要保守一點。若又跌到「年線」附近，不要再殺了，而且拉出長下影線(或長紅)時搶反彈。無論搶不搶得到反彈，最晚等指數創新低時要再減碼。


●【心法二：依「季線」操作】

操作時，看太多均線不好，另人難以適從。陳進郎只看「季線」、「年線」、「半年線」，最重要的是季線。股價跌破「季線」，市場普遍轉盈為虧，投資人開始不安，中線空頭確立。反之，多頭也看季線。


●【心法三：勝算過半就出手】

輸贏結果，取決勝率、金額、出手的次數。試想勝率從50%變55%，出手次數從10次、100次，到1000次，累積愈多，算入交易成本，贏面仍很明顯。但切記不要等有把握才出手，只要覺得合理就可以出手，多出手少會提高命中率。


●【心法四：切勿「拉回再買」、「反彈再賣」】

1.「在漲勢形成後，等拉回守住季線再買」，這個觀念不好，會讓猶豫不決的人更猶豫了。

2.就算指數拉回測試季線，我不會在拉回中買進，一定是等守住季線&拉出長紅(或近期盤整新高)時買進。

3.持股應該在「股價回檔時賣出」，而不是反彈才賣。


●【心法五：向上加碼強勢股】

做股票如同找蘿蔔，市場仍在漲勢中，如果生長期的蘿蔔，先賣漲不太上去的弱勢股，而不是先賣漲最多的強勢股；強勢股還會漲，甚至可以加碼買進。

KLSE Week 2013-01-04

2013-01-04

2012-01-03

2013-01-02